Inconsequential Data and Modest Movement
If there's one resounding theme in the bond market this week, it's that trading momentum marched to its own beat with almost zero regard for the available economic data. While this was a notable disconnect on Wednesday (little reaction to ADP/ISM), it's fairly easy to reconcile on a day like today where the PCE data is super stale (delayed release from September) and the only other report, Consumer Sentiment, rarely has an impact.
In general, the past 5 days have marked a casual return to the prevailing range (or more appropriately, the prevailing trend channel), thus setting the stage for a bigger break after the bigger events on the horizon (Fed day next week and jobs report the week after).
Categories
Recent Posts

How agents can use AI to prep 30 days of content in 1 hour

WSJ: DOJ leadership halted antitrust review of Compass–Anywhere deal

Real estate leaders weigh in on potential ban on large investors

Elon Musk says retirement savings could become ‘irrelevant’

Sharp decline in mortgage rates revives hopes of a refi surge, LOs say

Wild Ride For MBS as Traders Digest New Developments

Opportunity knocks: This week’s industry hires and moves

Trump’s mortgage bond promise already bringing rates down

Housing starts fall to lowest point since 2020, led by a stall in the Sun Belt
Mortgage rates drop below 6% following Trump’s MBS announcement
